02/28/07
NEWS: Real Estate to Create Wealth
Real Estate is perhaps the greatest tool for creating wealth that there is.
Ninety-five percent of the rich hold some or most of their wealth in real estate
for a good reason. So many homeowners have had their home appreciate far more
than what their 401k or other savings have done for them. Doesn’t it then
make sense then to have more of your savings invested into a second and then
third home instead of in a 401k where it is being drastically outperformed by
real estate? Naturally, you rent out the homes to pay all or most of the mortgage
and expenses and then hold the homes while they appreciate. Below is a simple,
yet informative breakdown of how many successful investors do this while they
create or grow their wealth.
Supply vs. Demand
Fundamental to investing in real estate is the understanding of why real estate
increases in value. The earth continues to become increasingly populated with
no new creation of land save for the rare volcanic eruption creating a new island.
With no new creation of land, the supply of land does not increase. Demand increases
constantly. In America, not only is the population increasing, but people are
building larger homes than before and many own second homes. Over time, the
odds of your property increasing in value are very high. Well picked property
in the right markets and sub-markets will increase in value at a higher rates
during the same amount of time.
Markets That Outperform
Keeping in mind that value in real estate is tied completely to supply vs demand.
When investing, we want to pick markets to invest in where we hope growth rates
and property appreciation will be as good as possible. It is impossible to tell
exactly what will happen, but you can forecast markets that show good trends
and will likely perform stronger than others. The markets that I as an investor
focus my attention on are the markets in the sun-belt. Because travel is becoming
so cheap and moving to a different state is so much less of a deal that it was
a generation ago, many of the baby boomers are picking retirement locations
with good weather rather than ones just close to family. The relatively low
cost of travel allows them to live where the weather is warm and visit family
when they want or need to. This has created above average appreciation rates
in the sun-belt states and will likely continue to do so over the next twenty
years.
High Returns in Real Estate?
Contrary to what many financial planners may say, you can safely get higher
than normal returns through real estate 20% - 30% returns. We aren’t talking
about abnormal booms like we saw in California, Phoenix, and Vegas. We are looking
at the best long-term markets and how they perform on average over time. As
you know, even the top real estate markets at most appreciate at an average
of 10% per year. So how does that 10% appreciation turn into 20% - 30% return
on your money? Only with leverage.
If you were to buy a condo for $100k and put 25% down, let’s look at
what your returns would be. You have $25k invested into the condo. With 25%
down, you are likely to have a positive cash-flow or to break even on what you
are able to rent it for vs what your mortgage payment is. Because the rent cancels
out the money you pay out on the mortgage, let’s remove them from the
factor of our analysis. Lets imagine the the average appreciation of the market
you invested into is 5%. Your first year appreciation on your home would be
$5,000 dollars. With the $25,000 you have invested in the condo, that gives
you a return rate of 20%. We also used very conservative estimates in doing
these calculations. In the markets where average appreciation is higher, there
are even better returns.
High Returns Matter
If you are serious about investing, your rates of return are extremely important.
If you increase your rate of return from 10% - 20% over a twenty year period,
your investment after the twenty years will be nearly six times as large. If
you started your investments with $10,000 at the beginning of the twenty years,
that $10k becomes $67k after 20 years when invested at 10%. If your average
return is 20%, the 10k becomes $383k. If you are able to get your average return
up to 30%, than you will have $1.9 million at the end of the 20 years from only
that initial $10k investment. As you can see, returns on your money, matter.
Risk vs. Security
The higher the downpayment you put on the home, the lower your returns, but
the more secure your investment is. It is a balance that each investor decides
for themselves and it also depends on the market where you are investing. If
you can break even on the cash-flow with no downpayment, then your risk on that
property is lower than if it would cause you to have a large negative cash-flow.
If you would like to read more, please link to the Investment page and read
through some of the information I have posted there. If you are looking for
someone to talk through your current situation with, give me a call.
Jared Murphy
Associate Broker - Allstar Realty
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